Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Deportivo Toledo		Calvo Sotelo Puertollano

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.15	4.55
	1.66	3.2	4.72
	1.74	3.32	4.78
	1.75	3	4.8
	1.68	3.25	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 (1.71)	3.18 ↓ (3.18)	4.78 (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Toledo
52.8%

Draw
28.3%

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

27.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Deportivo Toledo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Deportivo Toledo - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, ⚽,
71', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 2.

Toledo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Calvo Sotelo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Toledo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Toledo is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Toledo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.2:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Toledo	5	3	1	1	12:6	6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
18.04.26	Deportivo Toledo - Villacañas	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Illescas - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Deportivo Toledo - Manchego	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Villarrobledo - Deportivo Toledo	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Toledo - Albacete B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTWTT
- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
26.04.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Cazalegas	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Huracán Balazote - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Guadalajara B	4:0 ✺
02.04.26	Marchamalo - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Azuqueca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
21.12.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo	1:2
09.03.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo	0:0
27.10.24	Deportivo Toledo - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:0
28.03.24	Deportivo Toledo - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	3:2
29.10.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo	2:0
05.03.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo	0:0
30.10.22	Deportivo Toledo - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:2

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