Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 11
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albacete Balompié		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.25	3.8
	1.85	3.35	4.15	Watch
	1.87	3.46	4.7
	5.07	3.23	1.80	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.9
	1.9	3.42	4.28	Watch
	1.59	3.95	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.59)	3.41 ↓ (3.98)	4.02 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
45.2%

Draw
29.7%

Mirandés
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.4%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.6%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albacete Balompié's form might have worsened.

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirandés's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albacete Balompié, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirandés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Albacete Balompié - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Mirandés will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albacete: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Mirandés (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Albacete Balompié will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 3 - 75%). Mirandés (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marino D. (G) 15. Gamez F. 5. Moreno J. 14. Garcia H. J. 3. Gomez J. 11. Valverde V. 18. Villar J. 8. Rodriguez R. (C) 22. Morcillo J. 4. Agus Medina 7. Puertas A.	13. Juanpa (G) 2. Novoa Ramos H. 22. Gutierrez J. 21. Postigo S. (C) 24. Cordoba I. 3. Medrano F. 6. Helguera T. 26. Bauza R. 11. Cardero A. 10. Fernandez C. 7. Varela I.
Substitutes
27. Bernabeu D. 10. Betancor J. 26. Capi 19. Escriche D. 40. Jota J. 16. Lazo J. 13. Lizoain R. (G) 17. Melendez A. 28. Velilla A.	30. El Jebari S. 20. Eto'o E. 31. Gorrin A. (G) 29. Lopez P. 8. Martin Luis A. 4. Pascual M. 9. Petit G. 5. Pica A. 27. Tamarit T.
Coaches
Gonzalez A.	Justo F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Bauza R. ⚽, Fernandez C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Moreno J. ↓, Melendez A. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Fernandez C. ⚽, Helguera T. (A),
64', Gomez J. ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
65', Valverde V. ↓, Betancor J. ↑,
67', Cardero A. ↓, Martin Luis A. ↑,
67', Fernandez C. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Petit G. ⚽,
70', Bauza R. 🟨,
72', 1 - 3, Escriche D. ⚽,
76', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Pascual M. ↑,
80', Garcia H. J. 🟥,
81', Puertas A. 🟨,
83', Escriche D. 🟨,
84', Puertas A. ↓, Lazo J. ↑,
84', Gamez F. ↓, Jota J. ↑,
84', Varela I. ↓, Tamarit T. ↑,
84', Bauza R. ↓, Lopez P. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 4, Lopez P. ⚽, Petit G. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Recently, Mirandés has had a series of away games.

In this match, Albacete is the team to beat.

There will not play in Albacete: Lorenzo (Shoulder Injury) Marin H. (Red Card) Neva C. (Red Card) Pacheco A. (Elbow Injury) Pepe (Injury) Vallejo J. (Injury)

There will not play in Mirandés: Barea Fernandez I. (International duty) Illesca M. (Injury) Mari A. (Muscle Injury) Nikic I. (Injury) Perez P. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Albacete won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
31.08.25	Cádiz - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Albacete Balompié - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
18.08.25	Almería - Albacete Balompié	4:4 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Albacete Balompié - Castellón	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Albacete Balompié - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLW
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
31.08.25	Granada - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Mirandés - Huesca	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Cádiz - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Osasuna - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.03.25	Albacete Balompié - Mirandés	3:2
15.09.24	Mirandés - Albacete Balompié	2:0
26.05.24	Albacete Balompié - Mirandés	2:2
16.12.23	Mirandés - Albacete Balompié	2:0
27.05.23	Albacete Balompié - Mirandés	2:1
03.12.22	Mirandés - Albacete Balompié	4:2
18.04.21	Albacete Balompié - Mirandés	1:0

Upcoming Matches