Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Granada		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.7
	1.95	3.2	3.85	Watch
	2.04	3.34	4.16
	2.23	3.01	3.54	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	1.98	3.34	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.77)	3.26 ↓ (3.62)	3.94 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
47.4%

Draw
28.8%

Mirandés
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

24.2%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Granada's form might have worsened.

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Granada - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Mirandés will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 2 - 40%). Mirandés (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mirandés (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mirandés (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zidane L. (G) 2. Casadesus P. 28. Oppong O. 5. Lama M. 32. Haro P. 20. Ruiz S. (C) 14. Trigueros M. 17. Faye S. 10. Bouldini M. 11. Arnaiz J. M. 19. Pascual J.	1. Nikic I. (G) 22. Gutierrez J. 21. Postigo S. 4. Pascual M. 24. Cordoba I. 3. Medrano F. 7. Varela I. 26. Bauza R. 18. Barea Fernandez I. 11. Cardero A. 10. Fernandez C.
Substitutes
8. Aleman P. 13. Astralaga A. (G) 33. Cortes S. 29. Fall S. 3. Hormigo D. 30. Joel Akogo G. 31. Moubeke D. 26. Rodelas S. 21. Saenz P. 9. Weissman S.	30. El Jebari S. 6. Helguera T. 13. Juanpa (G) 8. Martin Luis A. 9. Petit G. 5. Pica A. 27. Tamarit T.
Coaches
Rojo Martin J.	Justo F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Cordoba I. 🟨,
36', Haro P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Nikic I. ↓, Juanpa ↑,
48', Haro P. 🟥,
49', 0 - 1, Fernandez C. (Pen),
51', Bauza R. 🟨,
57', Trigueros M. ↓, Aleman P. ↑,
57', Pascual J. ↓, Saenz P. ↑,
57', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
68', Bauza R. ↓, Helguera T. ↑,
68', Pascual M. ↓, Tamarit T. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Saenz P. ⚽, Aleman P. (A),
76', Bouldini M. 🟨,
76', Fernandez C. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
83', Cardero A. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
84', Bouldini M. ↓, Hormigo D. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Petit G. ⚽, Gutierrez J. (A),
90+6', Ruiz S. ↓, Weissman S. ↑,

Preview

Granada is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mirandés has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mirandés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Granada has had a series of home games.

Recently, Mirandés has had a series of away games.

In this match, Granada is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Granada: Diallo B. (Injury) Williams L. (Red Card)

There will not play in Mirandés: Perez P. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Granada won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Granada won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Mirandés - the odds 4.65 are the expected chance of winning is 20.36%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
22.08.25	Eibar - Granada	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Granada - Deportivo A Coruña	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Granada - Al Ain	0:3 ✺
30.07.25	Granada - Al-Rayyan	Canceled ✺
29.07.25	Granada - Qatar SC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLL?T
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
23.08.25	Mirandés - Huesca	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Cádiz - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Osasuna - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
30.07.25	Zaragoza - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.25	Granada - Mirandés	0:0
05.10.24	Mirandés - Granada	0:1
20.05.23	Mirandés - Granada	1:3
17.09.22	Granada - Mirandés	2:1

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