Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 23

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Referee: Caparros I. (Esp)


	Albacete Balompié		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.46	3.9	6.75
	1.45	4	7.5	Watch
	1.58	4.05	6.21
	1.45	4.5	8.34
	1.5	3.9	6.5
	1.48	4.2	7.21	Watch
	1.44	4.1	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.63)	4.14 ↑ (3.78)	7.33 ↑ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
64.2%

Draw
22.9%

Alcorcón
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

25%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albacete Balompié's performance.

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albacete Balompié that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Albacete Balompié - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: Albacete Balompié will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barragan B. (G) 23. Rodriguez Perez A. 19. Olaetxea L. 24. Antonio Cristian 3. Silva J. 7. Garcia J. 4. Agus Medina 8. Rodriguez R. 10. Fuster M. 21. Quiles A. 9. Marin H.	13. Anacker L. (G) 20. Lopez I. 2. Castro J. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 19. Quintilla X. 17. Garcia V. 18. Eteki Y. 16. Perez J. 15. Lara J. 21. Obieta K. 22. Artola J.
Substitutes
17. Alonso J. 13. Altube D. (G) 14. Benito P. A. P. 2. Djetei M. 16. Escriche D. 6. Maestre S. 20. Shashoua S. 30. Vargas J.	26. Addai E. 6. Babin J. 7. Bustos A. 29. Callis E. 23. Chema 28. Garrido J. 10. Juanma Bravo 14. Lopez A. 3. Morillas D. 5. Mosquera P. 1. Ruiz J. (G) 11. Sousa D.
Coaches
Albes R.	Nafti M.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Albacete won 2.

Albacete is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Albacete is certain favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Albacete won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Albacete won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.24	Levante - Albacete Balompié	3:2 ✺
19.12.23	Albacete Balompié - Eldense	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Mirandés - Albacete Balompié	2:0 ✺
08.12.23	Albacete Balompié - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Ferrol - Albacete Balompié	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTLWL
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.24	Alcorcón - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.24	Alcorcón - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.23	Amorebieta - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Alcorcón - Eibar	1:0 ✺
11.12.23	Tenerife - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.23	Alcorcón - Albacete Balompié	1:2
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Albacete Balompié - Alcorcón	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
03.05.21	Albacete Balompié - Alcorcón	0:1
26.01.21	Alcorcón - Albacete Balompié	1:2
02.07.20	Albacete Balompié - Alcorcón	1:1
04.10.19	Alcorcón - Albacete Balompié	0:1
07.04.19	Alcorcón - Albacete Balompié	0:1

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