Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 20

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Alcorcón		Eibar

	1	X	2
	4	3.25	2	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.9
	4	3.25	1.95	Watch
	4.38	3.26	2.04
	4.37	3.25	2.03
	3.7	3.3	1.91
	3.96	3.34	1.96	Watch
	4	3.2	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↓ (4.05)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	1.97 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
23.3%

Draw
29%

Eibar
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

26.4%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	16.7%	77.8%

Alcorcón - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Eibar will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Anacker L. (G) 20. Lopez I. 2. Castro J. 3. Morillas D. 19. Quintilla X. 17. Garcia V. 18. Eteki Y. 15. Lara J. 8. Rodriganez J. 21. Obieta K. 9. Borrego C.	1. Zidane L. (G) 15. Tejero A. 3. Venancio F. 23. Arbilla A. 21. Rios Reina J. 14. Vencedor U. 8. Pereira M. 17. Corpas J. 30. Soriano M. 19. Stoichkov 18. Jon B.
Substitutes
22. Artola J. 6. Babin J. 7. Bustos A. 29. Callis E. 32. Garcia I. 28. Garrido J. 10. Juanma Bravo 14. Lopez A. 5. Mosquera P. 16. Perez J. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 1. Ruiz J. (G)	10. Aketxe A. 27. de la Fuente K. 2. Gutierrez C. 32. Muguruza A. 7. Quique 11. Rahmani Y. 22. Simic S. 31. Troncho A. 13. Yoel (G) 12. Yriarte J.
Coaches
Nafti M.	Etxeberria J.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Alcorcón has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Eibar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eibar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
11.12.23	Tenerife - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Alcorcón - Cartagena	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
03.12.23	Alcorcón - Elche	0:2 ✺
26.11.23	Espanyol - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Alcorcón - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLT
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
10.12.23	Eibar - FC Andorra	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Melilla - Eibar	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
04.12.23	Villarreal B - Eibar	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Eibar - Levante	3:1 ✺
19.11.23	Real Oviedo - Eibar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.05.22	Alcorcón - Eibar	1:0
13.11.21	Eibar - Alcorcón	2:1
08.03.14	Alcorcón - Eibar	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.10.13	Eibar - Alcorcón	1:2 ET
Spanish LaLiga2
06.10.13	Eibar - Alcorcón	0:0

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