Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: AlbinoLeffe (Zanica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	AlbinoLeffe		Renate

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.1	Watch
	2.32	2.92	3.1
	2.5	2.99	3.16
	7.81	3.76	1.47	Watch
	2.43	2.98	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.3)	3.12 ↑ (2.9)	2.79 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AlbinoLeffe
30%

Draw
33%

Renate
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

31.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AlbinoLeffe's form might have worsened.

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Renate's recent form is better than expected.

AlbinoLeffe - Renate Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Renate (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Renate (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Baldi G. (G) 23. Sottini E. 4. Potop S. (C) 30. Baroni R. 7. Garattoni A. 19. Agostinelli M. 5. Mandelli A. 18. Parlati S. 20. Ambrosini M. 8. Lombardi A. 99. Sarr A. M.	22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. 21. Riviera C. 32. Ghezzi A. 6. Rossi G. 11. Delcarro A. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 14. Cali M. 10. Kolaj A. 9. Karlsson O.
Substitutes
21. Angeloni M. 6. Astrologo A. 2. Barba B. 26. Bonfanti R. (G) 45. Borghi E. 58. Brighenti R. 10. De Paoli A. 1. Di Chiara S. (G) 28. Gusu M. 79. Lekaj K. 42. Lupinetti T. 11. Sali G.	92. Anelli N. 12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 17. Bonetti A. 8. Esposito G. 72. Mastromonaco G. 44. Mazzaroppi S. 28. Meloni M. 45. Nene S. 15. Ori R. 18. Ovalle Santos A. 13. Spalluto S. 25. Vassallo F. 19. Ziu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Kolaj A. ⚽,
10', Auriletto S. 🟨,
10', Lombardi A. 🟨,
22', Ambrosini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Agostinelli M. ↓, Sali G. ↑,
46', Garattoni A. ↓, Gusu M. ↑,
46', Sarr A. M. ↓, De Paoli A. ↑,
53', Kolaj A. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Ruiz Giraldo P. ⚽,
62', Karlsson O. ↓, Spalluto S. ↑,
62', Rossi G. ↓, Bonetti A. ↑,
65', Baroni R. ↓, Barba B. ↑,
74', Ghezzi A. ↓, Mastromonaco G. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Parlati S. ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, Spalluto S. ⚽,
83', Mandelli A. ↓, Astrologo A. ↑,
90+6', Spedalieri J. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 3, De Paoli A. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 3.

AlbinoLeffe is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

AlbinoLeffe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

AlbinoLeffe could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, AlbinoLeffe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

AlbinoLeffe - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.16%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
29.08.25	Pro Vercelli - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	AlbinoLeffe - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Vercelli	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	AlbinoLeffe - Villa Valle	1:0 ✺
30.07.25	Monza - AlbinoLeffe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLWL
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
30.08.25	Renate - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Pergolettese - Renate	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Pergolettese - Renate	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Atalanta U23 - Renate	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
07.05.25	Renate - Giana Erminio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
09.02.25	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	1:0
28.09.24	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	0:2
13.04.24	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	0:0
08.12.23	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	0:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	0:2
Italian Serie C Group A
26.02.23	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	2:3
23.10.22	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	0:0

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