The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AlbinoLeffe 44.2%
Draw 30.4%
Pergolettese 25.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.3%
28.1%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
28%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Michielin M. (G) 16. Gusu M. 4. Potop S. (C) 23. Sottini E. 2. Barba B. 19. Agostinelli M. 5. Mandelli A. 32. Faggi F. 77. Ballo L. 11. Sali G. 70. Desogus J.
22. Doldi F. (G) 49. Zaia E. 73. Bassi E. 5. Silvestri T. 70. Antolini J. 20. Tremolada M. 4. Arini M. (C) 21. Evangelista C. 10. Ferrandino D. 7. Pala A. 11. Corti N.
Substitutes
12. Baldi G. (G) 34. Bertin E. 6. Boloca G. 17. Ciko S. 71. Colombi A. 1. Generali F. (G) 8. Lombardi A. 14. Sassi S. 3. Sciacca G. 24. Simonelli T. 9. Stanzani L.
12. Asperti A. (G) 18. Avena P. 30. Berretta A. 1. Cordaro L. (G) 15. Dell'Orco C. 90. Giroletti M. J. 80. Jaouhari Z. 32. La Masa C. 77. Orlandi A. 27. Pavanello A. 24. Pavesi D. 9. Rossetti M. 8. Stronati R.
Coaches
Zaffaroni M.
Giosa A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Desogus J. ⚽, Barba B. (A),
44', 2 - 0, Faggi F. ⚽, Sali G. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Pala A. ⚽, Bassi E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Agostinelli M. 🟨,
56', 3 - 1, Sali G. ⚽, Desogus J. (A),
59', Evangelista C. ↓, Berretta A. ↑,
59', Arini M. ↓, Rossetti M. ↑,
60', Antolini J. ↓, Avena P. ↑,
65', Faggi F. ↓, Ciko S. ↑,
70', Tremolada M. ↓, Jaouhari Z. ↑,
77', Desogus J. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
77', Sali G. ↓, Sassi S. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Jaouhari Z. ⚽,
87', Pala A. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
87', Barba B. ↓, Sciacca G. ↑,
90', Corti N. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 3.
AlbinoLeffe has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Pergolettese shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with AlbinoLeffe holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, AlbinoLeffe has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:13 (averaging 1.3:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for AlbinoLeffe against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 11:1 goals (averaging 1.8:0.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Pergolettese
12
4
5
3
12:12
0
17
Last Results with these Odds
Pergolettese - the odds 3.46 are the expected chance of winning is 26.58%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.