The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Renate 43.5%
Draw 29.7%
Giana Erminio 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
31.5%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
30.5%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Renate - Giana Erminio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 19th in the Serie C - Play Out).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renate won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Renate (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Giana Erminio has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Renate could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Renate is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Renate has recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:25 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Renate against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:12 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
19
Giana Erminio
8
0
4
4
6:10
-4
4
20
Renate
8
0
3
5
6:12
-6
3
Last Results with these Odds
Renate - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.77%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Giana Erminio - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 28.69%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
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