Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Alcúdia		Felanitx

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.92	3.1
	2.22	2.99	3.21
	2.25	3.03	3.2
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.27	2.88	3.2
	2.2	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.23)	2.94 ↓ (2.96)	3.19 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcúdia
40.6%

Draw
30.9%

Felanitx
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

30.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

29.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcúdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Felanitx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felanitx than the current prediction. (-1%)

Alcúdia - Felanitx Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Nebot T. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcúdia won 1.

Recent performances by Alcúdia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Felanitx's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alcúdia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alcúdia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alcúdia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcúdia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Alcúdia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
17.12.25	Binissalem - Alcúdia	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Peña Deportiva - Alcúdia	5:1 ✺
06.12.25	Alcúdia - Portmany	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Rotlet Molinar - Alcúdia	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Alcúdia - Collerense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTWW
- CE Felanitx
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
13.12.25	Felanitx - Mallorca B	0:1 ✺
04.12.25	Platges de Calvià - Felanitx	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Felanitx - Formentera	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Inter Ibiza - Felanitx	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Felanitx - Llosetense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
13.04.24	Felanitx - Alcúdia	2:0
25.11.23	Alcúdia - Felanitx	2:0
29.05.21	Felanitx - Alcúdia	1:0
24.04.21	Alcúdia - Felanitx	1:1
02.02.20	Alcúdia - Felanitx	3:3
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
29.10.17	Alcúdia - Felanitx	2:0

Alcúdia - Felanitx: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide