Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 14

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Alcains		União da Serra

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.9
	4.1	3.4	1.7
	3.65	3.25	1.91
	3.61	3.24	2.06
	3.88	3.04	1.95
	3.65	3.25	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.06)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	1.92 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcains
24.2%

Draw
28.3%

União da Serra
47.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

28.3%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcains's form might have worsened.

União da Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União da Serra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcains than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcains, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for União da Serra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Alcains has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

União da Serra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match União da Serra is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcains won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcains
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.23	Alcains - Sertanense	0:3 ✺
18.12.22	Arronches Benfica - Alcains	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Loures - Alcains	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Alcains - Pero Pinheiro	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Coruchense - Alcains	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.23	Loures - União da Serra	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	União da Serra - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Coruchense - União da Serra	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	União da Serra - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	União de Santarém - União da Serra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.09.22	União da Serra - Alcains	5:4

Alcains - União da Serra

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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