Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 12

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	União da Serra		Pero Pinheiro

	1	X	2
	2.95	3	2.2
	2.95	2.95	2.25
	2.95	3.05	2.25
	3.31	3.17	2.21
	3.25	2.9	2.2
	3.16	3.13	2.16
	3.15	3.2	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.93)	3.06 ↓ (3.24)	2.21 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União da Serra
29.2%

Draw
29.7%

Pero Pinheiro
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

27.5%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Pero Pinheiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 6).

União da Serra is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pero Pinheiro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pero Pinheiro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Coruchense - União da Serra	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	União da Serra - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	União de Santarém - União da Serra	3:0 ✺
20.11.22	União da Serra - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Rio Maior - União da Serra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLTW
- CA Pero Pinheiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Pero Pinheiro - Sertanense	2:3 ✺
04.12.22	Alcains - Pero Pinheiro	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Pero Pinheiro - Loures	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Pero Pinheiro - Arronches Benfica	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Coruchense - Pero Pinheiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.10.26	Elvas - União da Serra	✺

União da Serra - Pero Pinheiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide