Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Alcalá		Quintanar del Rey

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.8	3.5
	2.15	2.82	3.45
	2.17	3	3.58
	1.23	5.32	12.19	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.04)	3.37 ↑ (2.91)	5.26 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alcalá
51%

Draw
29.8%

Quintanar del Rey
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

31.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

30.8%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcalá's performance.

Quintanar del Rey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quintanar del Rey might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcalá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quintanar del Rey than the current prediction. (+5%)

Alcalá - Quintanar del Rey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Javi H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent performances by Alcalá have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Quintanar del Rey has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alcalá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alcalá will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.09.25	Alcalá - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Colonia Moscardó - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Alcalá - Conquense	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Alcalá	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Alcalá - Salamanca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TTWLW
- CD Quintanar del Rey
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Coria	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Navalcarnero - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Quintanar del Rey - Socuéllamos	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tenerife B - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Quintanar del Rey - Intercity	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLT

Upcoming Matches