Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Quintanar del Rey

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.8
	2	2.92	3.65
	2.17	2.8	3.91
	2.74	2.19	3.86	Watch
	2.03	3.12	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.5)	2.81 ↓ (3)	3.82 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
42.6%

Draw
33.1%

Quintanar del Rey
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Navalcarnero's performance.

Quintanar del Rey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quintanar del Rey might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Navalcarnero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quintanar del Rey than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quintanar del Rey could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Navalcarnero - Quintanar del Rey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Villar Ch. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Navalcarnero has had a series of away games.

Navalcarnero might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.09.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Navalcarnero - Rayo Vallecano B	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Getafe B - Navalcarnero	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Valladolid B - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Navalcarnero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL
- CD Quintanar del Rey
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.09.25	Quintanar del Rey - Socuéllamos	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tenerife B - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Quintanar del Rey - Intercity	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.25	Villacañas - Quintanar del Rey	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Quintanar del Rey - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTLW

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