Match Info

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Paracuellos Antamira		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.85	3.2	2.3
	2.86	3.05	2.31
	2.86	3.02	2.32
	2.87	3.13	2.34
	2.85	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.41)	3.12 ↓ (3.13)	2.31 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paracuellos Antamira
31.9%

Draw
29%

Alcalá
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

29.7%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paracuellos Antamira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paracuellos Antamira's form might have worsened.

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcalá's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paracuellos Antamira than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paracuellos Antamira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcalá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 0 - 1, Sanchez B. ⚽,
76', 0 - 2, Sanchez B. ⚽,
87', 0 - 3, Perez J. V. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paracuellos Antamira won 2.

Paracuellos Antamira is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alcalá is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Paracuellos Antamira won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Paracuellos Antamira won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paracuellos Antamira
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.03.24	Torrejón - Paracuellos Antamira	1:3 ✺
17.03.24	Paracuellos Antamira - Alcorcón B	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Real Madrid C - Paracuellos Antamira	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Paracuellos Antamira - Móstoles URJC	1:3 ✺
25.02.24	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Paracuellos Antamira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLLT
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.03.24	Alcalá - Tres Cantos	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Canillas - Alcalá	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Alcalá - Siello	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Colonia Moscardó - Alcalá	1:3 ✺
25.02.24	Alcalá - Trival Valderas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.11.23	Alcalá - Paracuellos Antamira	1:0
22.01.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Alcalá	1:1
17.09.22	Alcalá - Paracuellos Antamira	0:1
30.01.22	Alcalá - Paracuellos Antamira	0:1
25.09.21	Paracuellos Antamira - Alcalá	1:2
21.03.21	Paracuellos Antamira - Alcalá	2:2
20.12.20	Alcalá - Paracuellos Antamira	0:0

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