Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Collado Villalba		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.25	1.9
	3.8	3.19	1.89
	3.71	3.43	1.9
	3.77	3.34	1.87
	3.75	3.25	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.58)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	1.89 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collado Villalba
24.2%

Draw
27.7%

Alcalá
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.5%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

26.3%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collado Villalba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Collado Villalba - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Izan ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, ⚽,
42', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 🟥,
78', 3 - 2, Arribas J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Collado Villalba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcalá is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Alcalá will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Collado Villalba won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Collado Villalba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.02.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Collado Villalba	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Collado Villalba - Leganés B	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Tres Cantos - Collado Villalba	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Collado Villalba - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	El Álamo - Collado Villalba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTWT
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.02.25	Alcalá - Galapagar	5:0 ✺
16.02.25	Trival Valderas - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Alcalá - Aravaca	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	México - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Alcalá - Parla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.10.24	Alcalá - Collado Villalba	1:2
11.02.24	Alcalá - Collado Villalba	1:0
24.09.23	Collado Villalba - Alcalá	1:2
16.04.23	Alcalá - Collado Villalba	1:0
18.12.22	Collado Villalba - Alcalá	0:0

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