Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday


	Alcantarilla		Pulpileño

	1	X	2
	8.25	4	1.36
	8.6	4.2	1.34
	8.95	4.05	1.37	Watch
	9.95	4.05	1.33
	8.6	4.2	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.87 ↑ (7.27)	4.1 ↓ (5)	1.35 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcantarilla
10.3%

Draw
22.2%

Pulpileño
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

18.2%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

17.5%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcantarilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Pulpileño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcantarilla than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
26', 0 - 1, Moreno F. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Ochoaizpur G. ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, Cano A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 3, Varela N. ⚽,
60', 1 - 4, Moreno F. ⚽,
66', 1 - 5, Ramos Acevedo G. J. ⚽,
77', 2 - 5, Tomas B. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Alcantarilla is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pulpileño is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pulpileño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pulpileño is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alcantarilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcantarilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcantarilla FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.12.24	Águilas B - Alcantarilla	5:0 ✺
14.12.24	Alcantarilla - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
06.12.24	Santomera - Alcantarilla	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Alcantarilla - UCAM Murcia B	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Real Murcia B - Alcantarilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 LLLWT
- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
05.01.25	Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Pulpileño - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Minerva - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Pulpileño - Muleño	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	El Palmar - Pulpileño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
17.03.24	Pulpileño - Alcantarilla	1:0
28.10.23	Alcantarilla - Pulpileño	1:2
16.04.23	Alcantarilla - Pulpileño	1:2
11.12.22	Pulpileño - Alcantarilla	1:0

Alcantarilla - Pulpileño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide