Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Alcantarilla		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.46
	5.6	4	1.49
	5.68	3.96	1.44
	6.29	4.19	1.45
	6.38	4.2	1.42
	5.6	4	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↓ (7)	4.04 ↑ (4)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alcantarilla
15.5%

Draw
22.4%

Lorca Deportiva
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

22.6%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

22.3%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcantarilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcantarilla than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Alcantarilla - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 1 - 1, Arcas R. ⚽,
55', 🟥,
78', 1 - 2, ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Alcantarilla is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lorca Deportiva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lorca Deportiva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lorca Deportiva is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcantarilla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcantarilla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcantarilla FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.12.24	Santomera - Alcantarilla	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Alcantarilla - UCAM Murcia B	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Real Murcia B - Alcantarilla	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Alcantarilla - Cartagena B	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Deportivo Marítimo - Alcantarilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 LWTLL
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.12.24	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Minerva - Lorca Deportiva	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	El Palmar - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Lorca Deportiva - Plus Ultra	5:2 ✺
26.10.24	Lorca Deportiva - Águilas B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.01.24	Alcantarilla - Lorca Deportiva	1:1
07.01.23	Alcantarilla - Lorca Deportiva	1:1

Upcoming Matches