Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 31

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Alcantarilla		Santomera

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	1.9
	2.9	3.4	2.15
	2.64	3.94	2.25
	2.72	3.76	2.2	Watch
	3.32	3.37	2.13
	2.9	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (6.91)	3.56 ↓ (3.88)	2.13 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcantarilla
31.1%

Draw
25.8%

Santomera
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

23.4%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

22.7%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcantarilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcantarilla's performance.

Santomera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santomera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcantarilla than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcantarilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (+22.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santomera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcantarilla - Santomera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santomera (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Nacho Munoz ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Pastor J. ⚽,
82', 1 - 3, Morales G. ⚽,
83', 1 - 4, Pastor J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Santomera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santomera is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcantarilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcantarilla FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.04.25	UCAM Murcia B - Alcantarilla	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Alcantarilla - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Cartagena B - Alcantarilla	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Alcantarilla - Deportivo Marítimo	0:0 ✺
19.03.25	Bala Azul - Alcantarilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 46.2 TWWTT
- Santomera CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.04.25	Minerva - Santomera	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Santomera - Muleño	0:3 ✺
23.03.25	El Palmar - Santomera	2:3 ✺
19.03.25	Santomera - Águilas B	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Santomera - Plus Ultra	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.12.24	Santomera - Alcantarilla	3:0

Alcantarilla - Santomera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide