Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 11

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Alcione		Gozzano

	1	X	2
	1.46	4	5.5
	1.44	3.87	5.55
	1.35	4.2	6.5
	1.44	4.15	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.62)	4.06 ↑ (3.69)	5.89 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
62.8%

Draw
22%

Gozzano
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

23.5%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcione's performance.

Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcione that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Alcione - Gozzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Alcione is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gozzano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcione could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcione is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group A
28.10.23	Pinerolo - Alcione	0:3 ✺
22.10.23	Alcione - Derthona	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Arconatese - Alcione	1:0 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
15.10.23	Unione Sanremo - Alcione	0:5 ✺
08.10.23	Alcione - PDHAE	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLWW
- AC Gozzano
Italian Serie D - Group A
29.10.23	Gozzano - Vogherese	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Lavagnese - Gozzano	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Chisola - Gozzano	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Gozzano - Chieri	1:1 ✺
04.10.23	Pinerolo - Gozzano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLTW

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