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Current Win Probability
Chisola 45.3%
Draw 28.8%
Gozzano 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
26.9%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
26%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chisola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chisola than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Chisola - Gozzano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 0, ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Chisola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Chisola is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chisola won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Chisola won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Gozzano - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.38%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.