Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Alcione		Ravenna

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.45	3.15	1.95
	3.2	3.1	2.01
	3.44	3.12	2
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.4	3.38	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.65)	3.18 ↓ (3.34)	2 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
26.6%

Draw
28.3%

Ravenna
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.3%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

19.7%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcione's form might have worsened.

Ravenna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ravenna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ravenna than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ravenna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcione - Ravenna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Alcione is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ravenna is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcione could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ravenna will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group D
07.11.21	Correggese - Alcione	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Alcione - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Real Forte Querceta - Alcione	1:1 ✺
20.10.21	Alcione - Mezzolara	2:0 ✺
16.10.21	Progresso - Alcione	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTWT
- Ravenna FC
Italian Serie D - Group D
10.11.21	Ravenna - Seravezza Pozzi	1:1 ✺
07.11.21	Ravenna - Prato	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Athletic Carpi - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
31.10.21	Aglianese - Ravenna	0:2 ✺
24.10.21	Ravenna - Bagnolese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLWW

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