Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 6

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport MIX


	Carpi		Ravenna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.05	2.68
	2.67	3.1	2.76
	9.56	3.69	1.43	Watch
	2.59	3.21	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (3.11)	3.26 ↑ (3.04)	2.39 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
24.1%

Draw
32.1%

Ravenna
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

30.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

30.3%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carpi's form might have worsened.

Ravenna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carpi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ravenna than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Carpi - Ravenna Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Carpi will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Carpi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Carpi (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Carpi (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. 6. Panelli T. 19. Rossini M. 7. Cecotti T. 5. Figoli M. 29. Rosetti M. 3. Rigo M. 72. Cortesi M. (C) 8. Amayah P. 9. Gerbi E.	1. Anacoura J. (G) 47. Scaringi M. 44. Bianconi A. 5. Solini M. 2. Donati G. 16. Tenkorang J. 17. Lonardi L. 8. Rossetti M. (C) 3. Falbo L. 19. Spini C. 29. Zagre A.
Substitutes
70. Arcopinto A. 11. Casarini F. 20. Forte R. 17. Lombardi L. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 80. Pietra N. 23. Sall A. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 10. Stanzani L. 26. Toure M. 2. Verza N. 77. Visani R.	23. Borra D. (G) 20. Calandrini G. 77. Da Pozzo L. 21. Esposito A. 32. Ilari C. 18. Luciani P. 84. Menegazzo L. 9. Motti M. 7. Okaka S. 11. Rrapaj P. 73. Sermenghi L. 12. Stagni T. (G) 76. Zakaria K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Spini C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Rossini M. 🟨,
61', Figoli M. ↓, Casarini F. ↑,
68', Zagre A. ↓, Motti M. ↑,
68', Spini C. ↓, Luciani P. ↑,
72', Rigo M. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Casarini F. ⚽,
79', Scaringi M. ↓, Da Pozzo L. ↑,
79', Lonardi L. ↓, Rrapaj P. ↑,
80', Donati G. 🟨,
87', 1 - 2, Luciani P. ⚽,
89', Bianconi A. ↓, Esposito A. ↑,
90', Rosetti M. ↓, Pietra N. ↑,
90+1', Amayah P. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
90+5', Anacoura J. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Carpi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ravenna is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ravenna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 4:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.25	Sambenedettese - Carpi	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ternana - Carpi	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Carpi - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Pianese - Carpi	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Carpi - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLTWT
- Ravenna FC
Italian Serie C Group B
19.09.25	Ravenna - Perugia	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Ravenna	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Ravenna - Bra	3:1 ✺
01.09.25	Forlì - Ravenna	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Ravenna - Campobasso	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.05.21	Ravenna - Carpi	2:1
17.01.21	Carpi - Ravenna	4:2
03.11.19	Carpi - Ravenna	4:1

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