Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Antonio De Almeida Correia Foni (Foni)


	Alcochetense		Atlético da Malveira

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.54
	15.00	4.38	1.26	Watch
	2.58	3.3	2.58
	2.45	3.2	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.62 ↑ (2.45)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)	2.24 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcochetense
19.6%

Draw
31.1%

Atlético da Malveira
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.2%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcochetense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcochetense's form might have worsened.

Atlético da Malveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético da Malveira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcochetense than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcochetense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético da Malveira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcochetense - Atlético da Malveira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Malveira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Alcochetense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.09.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Alcochetense	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Oriental - Alcochetense	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
24.08.25	Alcochetense - Moncarapachense	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Comércio e Indústria - Alcochetense	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Alcochetense - Serpa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLTW
- Atlético da Malveira
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	União Lamas - Atlético da Malveira	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.09.25	Atlético da Malveira - Oriental	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Alverca B - Atlético da Malveira	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Atlético da Malveira - Elvas	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Atlético da Malveira - Juventude de Évora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWLT

Alcochetense - Atlético da Malveira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide