Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 14

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Alcorcón B		Galapagar

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.92	2.88
	2.31	2.96	3.16
	2.96	2.12	3.68	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.28	2.93	3.11
	2.28	2.9	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.2)	2.77 ↓ (3.2)	3.18 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
38%

Draw
33.1%

Galapagar
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Alcorcón B - Galapagar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 🟥,
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,
63', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.12.25	México - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Alcorcón B - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Alcorcón B - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWWWL
- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.12.25	Galapagar - Villaverde San Andrés	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	México - Galapagar	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Galapagar - Atlético Madrid C	1:8 ✺
09.11.25	Tres Cantos - Galapagar	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Galapagar - Siello	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.03.25	Alcorcón B - Galapagar	0:0
27.10.24	Galapagar - Alcorcón B	0:1
21.01.24	Alcorcón B - Galapagar	0:2
24.04.22	Galapagar - Alcorcón B	0:0
09.02.22	Alcorcón B - Galapagar	0:2

Alcorcón B - Galapagar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide