Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Referee: Manrique D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alcorcón		Juventud de Torremolinos

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.75	9
	1.28	4.75	8.75
	1.28	4.8	8.8
	1.29	5.08	9.54
	1.29	5.1	9.8	Watch
	1.24	4.95	9.35
	1.3	5.53	10.5
	1.27	4.7	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)	4.96 ↑ (4.39)	9.27 ↑ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
71.7%

Draw
18.4%

Juventud de Torremolinos
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

21%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

19.8%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcorcón's performance.

Juventud de Torremolinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Alcorcón - Juventud de Torremolinos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Banuz M. (G) 22. Irurita X. 3. Gaixas A. 5. Lancho J. 17. Cuesta M. 20. Berlanga M. 6. Rivera P. 10. Vacas L. 11. Ouhdadi O. 7. Aparicio E. (C) 9. Davo	13. Cuenca J. (C) 19. Prevedini M. 4. Barboza M. 24. Grozdanic E. 23. Petersson M. A. 10. Rodriguez C. 22. Brandes J. 6. Climent A. 12. Buch O. 9. Dioni 27. Matiti I.
Substitutes
8. Caravaca T. 30. Di Domenico N. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 23. Ibanez R. 16. Manzanara F. 1. Marti O. (G) 4. Mayorga A. 18. Melero G. 19. Palmer D. 24. Perez L. 21. Sabina F.	2. Ajegun Perez R. 32. Azaustre L. 1. Belman (G) 21. Diaby M. 20. Dorgu I. 28. Driton P. 18. Kaptoum W. 11. Laca I. 14. Moubeke D. 8. Perez P.
Coaches
Justo F.	Arzo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Lancho J. ⚽, Aparicio E. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Lancho J. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Berlanga M. ⚽,
44', Brandes J. ↓, Kaptoum W. ↑,
45+6', 4 - 0, Aparicio E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Petersson M. A. ↓, Ajegun Perez R. ↑,
46', Buch O. ↓, Diaby M. ↑,
64', Prevedini M. ↓, Driton P. ↑,
64', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Ibanez R. ↑,
64', Aparicio E. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
64', Lancho J. ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
74', Davo ↓, Sabina F. ↑,
76', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
78', Climent A. ↓, Laca I. ↑,
79', Matiti I. ↓, Azaustre L. ↑,
79', Vacas L. ↓, Palmer D. ↑,
81', 5 - 0, Berlanga M. ⚽, Ibanez R. (A),
85', Rivera P. ↓, Caravaca T. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 20th in the Relegation).

Alcorcón is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Torremolinos is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The betting markets point to Alcorcón as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Alcorcón has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alcorcón against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	13:4	9	12
20	Torremolinos	6	0	1	5	6:16	-10	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.09.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Alcorcón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Antequera - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Alcorcón - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Águilas - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTTT
- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.09.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Algeciras	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Hércules - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Zaragoza	3:4 ✺
05.09.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Atlético Madrid B - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.03.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Alcorcón	1:0
20.09.25	Alcorcón - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:1

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