Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 16

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Alcorcón		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.4	Watch
	2.95	3	2.35
	3.1	3	2.4	Watch
	3.31	3.05	2.52
	3.31	3.04	2.52
	3	3.1	2.3
	3.13	3.14	2.36	Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.32)	3.05 ↓ (3.18)	2.41 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
30%

Draw
30.9%

Sporting de Gijón
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

29.5%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.7%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	45.8%	50%

Alcorcón - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 30% – 70%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 20. Lopez I. 2. Castro J. 6. Babin J. (C) 19. Quintilla X. 18. Eteki Y. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 8. Rodriganez J. 15. Lara J. 26. Addai E. 11. Sousa D.	1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 4. Insua P. 22. Pier R. 3. Cote 15. Mesa R. 17. Rivera C. 21. Hassan H. 8. Villalba F. 7. Campos G. 19. Otero J.
Substitutes
13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 9. Borrego C. 7. Bustos A. 29. Callis E. 30. Garcia I. 17. Garcia V. 14. Lopez A. 3. Morillas D. 5. Mosquera P. 21. Obieta K. 16. Perez J.	11. Campuzano V. 20. Carrillo J. 23. Djurdjevic U. 5. Garcia P. 24. Izquierdoz C. 14. Jeraldino I. 13. Joel C. (G) 10. Mendez N. 25. Pascanu A. 9. Queipo D. 16. Sanchez D. 12. Varane J.
Coaches
Fernandez F.	Ramirez M.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 0.

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting de Gijón is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sporting de Gijón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
12.11.23	Burgos - Alcorcón	4:2 ✺
05.11.23	Alcorcón - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Navalcarnero - Alcorcón	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.23	Real Oviedo - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
23.10.23	Alcorcón - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLT
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
11.11.23	Sporting de Gijón - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Villarreal B - Sporting de Gijón	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Guijuelo - Sporting de Gijón	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.23	Sporting de Gijón - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.04.22	Alcorcón - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Sporting de Gijón - Alcorcón	2:1 ET
Spanish LaLiga2
16.10.21	Sporting de Gijón - Alcorcón	1:0
26.03.21	Sporting de Gijón - Alcorcón	0:0
29.10.20	Alcorcón - Sporting de Gijón	1:2
18.06.20	Alcorcón - Sporting de Gijón	0:2
12.10.19	Sporting de Gijón - Alcorcón	1:3

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