Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 13

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Real Oviedo		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	5	Watch
	1.78	3.1	4.75
	1.83	3.1	5	Watch
	1.94	3.33	4.75
	1.86	3.3	5.27
	1.81	3.24	5	Watch
	1.81	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.12)	3.22 ↑ (3)	4.97 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
51.6%

Draw
29.3%

Alcorcón
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

31.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

31%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Oviedo's performance.

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcorcón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oviedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Real Oviedo - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Roman L. (G) 15. Luengo O. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. 23. Bretones A. 8. Cazorla S. 11. Colombatto S. 7. Viti 16. Seoane J. 17. Moyano F. 9. Baston B. (C)	1. Ruiz J. (G) 20. Lopez I. 6. Babin J. (C) 2. Castro J. 19. Quintilla X. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 17. Garcia V. 14. Lopez A. 5. Mosquera P. 26. Addai E. 9. Borrego C.
Substitutes
24. Ahijado L. 14. Alemao 1. Braat Q. (G) 10. Camarasa V. 32. Cardero A. 34. Gonzalez P. 6. Jimmy Suarez 20. Masca 21. Pomares C. 28. Sese M.	13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 29. Callis E. 23. Chema 30. Garcia I. 15. Lara J. 21. Obieta K. 8. Rodriganez J.
Coaches
Carrion L.	Fernandez F.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 2.

Oviedo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcorcón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oviedo is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
21.10.23	Amorebieta - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
13.10.23	Real Oviedo - Albacete Balompié	3:0 ✺
07.10.23	Leganés - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
04.10.23	Real Oviedo - Huesca	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Eldense - Real Oviedo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWTWW
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
23.10.23	Alcorcón - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	FC Andorra - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Zaragoza - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Alcorcón - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Villarreal B - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.04.22	Alcorcón - Real Oviedo	1:2
05.12.21	Real Oviedo - Alcorcón	3:1
30.03.21	Alcorcón - Real Oviedo	1:1
03.12.20	Real Oviedo - Alcorcón	1:1
15.02.20	Real Oviedo - Alcorcón	1:2
06.12.19	Alcorcón - Real Oviedo	1:3
16.02.19	Real Oviedo - Alcorcón	1:0

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