Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 2

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Alcorcón		Teruel

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4.1
	1.85	3.1	3.75	Watch
	1.9	3.15	4.05
	1.92	3.2	4.32
	1.99	3.03	4.13	Watch
	1.88	3.24	4.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.68)	3.14 ↓ (3.46)	4.08 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
48.3%

Draw
29.2%

Teruel
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

26.4%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

27.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcorcón's form might have worsened.

Teruel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Alcorcón - Teruel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Teruel (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Teruel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 19. Pola J. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 34. Perez L. 15. Rodriguez S. 22. Blanco R. 18. Aguado T. 10. Ballesteros Y. 21. Llorente R. 9. Carmona M. 7. Aparicio E.	13. Ruben Galvez (C) 4. Van Rijn N. 18. del Moral A. 15. Rodriguez A. 23. Royo M. 10. Sutherland T. 14. Relu 8. Blesa Alex 16. Albisua H. 7. Moreno S. 21. Padilla J.
Substitutes
17. Lanchi 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Navarro D. 3. Nieto S. 6. Perez I. 5. Rai 14. Vacas L.	29. Alvaro Merencio 3. Fondarella D. 5. Goyo Medina 27. Lucena M. 28. Navarro A. 1. Palop A. (G) 6. Redon H. 26. Sanchez M. 17. Traore M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Carmona M. ⚽,
39', Royo M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Moreno S. ⚽,
45+6', Van Rijn N. 🟨,
45+8', Aguado T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sutherland T. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Blanco R. ⚽,
62', Royo M. ↓, Goyo Medina ↑,
62', del Moral A. ↓, Redon H. ↑,
70', Aparicio E. ↓, Rai ↑,
70', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Vacas L. ↑,
81', Blanco R. ↓, Lanchi ↑,
84', Moreno S. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
88', Llorente R. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Alcorcón have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Teruel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Teruel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Teruel has had a series of home games.

In this match, Alcorcón is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcorcón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.09.25	Villarreal B - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
13.08.25	Talavera de la Reina - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Alcorcón - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTWT
- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
31.08.25	Teruel - Betis B	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.25	Osasuna B - Teruel	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Teruel - Ejea	1:0 ✺
13.08.25	Teruel - Castellon B	3:0 ✺
06.08.25	Teruel - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Teruel - Alcorcón	0:1

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