The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alcorcón 43%
Draw 30.8%
Villarreal B 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
28.4%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
28.4%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcorcón's form might have worsened.
Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-3%)
Alcorcón - Villarreal B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 23. Navarro D. 6. Perez I. 4. Rojas J. 15. Rodriguez S. 18. Aguado T. 5. Rai 10. Ballesteros Y. (C) 22. Blanco R. 11. Kopotun V. 14. Vacas L.
1. Gomez R. (C) 2. Budesca D. 4. Sierra I. 23. Valou J. 3. Ortiz E. 26. Gaitan J. 28. Macia C. 8. Diatta A. 36. El Jmili N. 30. Garcia A. 11. Lopez H.
Substitutes
35. Arcos D. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 3. Nieto S. 19. Pola J. 28. Santana dos Santos E. L. 16. Tounkara N.
24. Arguigue Safsati A. 33. Bonafe C. 10. Eto'o E. 14. Fores A. 25. Kinareykin Y. (G) 16. Pascual P. 21. Rodriguez I. 7. Salazar S. 15. Tidiane Thiam C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Kopotun V. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Sierra I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽,
55', 🟨,
56', El Jmili N. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
61', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
67', 1 - 3, Lopez H. ⚽,
78', 2 - 3, ⚽,
80', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 2.
Alcorcón has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Villarreal B is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Villarreal B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Alcorcón will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Spain
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Ayesa G. (G) 
Kopotun V. 
Valou J. 
Diatta A. 
Santana dos Santos E. L. 
Arguigue Safsati A. 
Eto'o E. 
Rodriguez I. 
