Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Teruel		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.20	1.85
	4.00	3.05	1.86
	3.94	3.38	1.9	Watch
	3.90	3.20	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (3.94)	3.21 ↓ (3.38)	1.87 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teruel
23.2%

Draw
28.2%

Alcorcón
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

27.5%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

27.4%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teruel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Teruel - Alcorcón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).

Teruel has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Alcorcón is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Alcorcón carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Teruel has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Teruel against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	13:4	9	12
19	Teruel	6	0	2	4	2:12	-10	2

Last Results with these Odds

Teruel - the odds 3.94 are the expected chance of winning is 23.59%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.10.26	Zaragoza - Teruel	4:1 ✺
27.09.26	Teruel - Huesca	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Teruel	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Teruel - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Real Murcia - Teruel	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.10.26	Alcorcón - Juventud de Torremolinos	5:0 ✺
27.09.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Alcorcón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Antequera - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Alcorcón - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.03.26	Teruel - Alcorcón	1:2
06.09.25	Alcorcón - Teruel	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Teruel - Alcorcón	0:1

Teruel - Alcorcón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide