Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 31

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Banus Football Center (Marbella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Marbella		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.88	2.55
	2.78	2.98	2.52
	2.78	3.05	2.61
	2.79	3.02	2.64	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.5
	2.7	2.9	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.52)	2.94 ↑ (2.92)	2.56 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
33.3%

Draw
31.1%

Villarreal B
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

31.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

32.1%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Marbella - Villarreal B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia M. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 15. Gabri 22. Rodriguez J. 3. Martinez A. 20. Cambra J. 8. Eugeni (C) 16. Ruiz A. 19. Ohemeng E. 9. Sanchez V. 24. Selma D.	1. Gomez R. (C) 2. Budesca D. 4. Sierra I. 6. Spatz L. M. 3. Ortiz E. 26. Gaitan J. 8. Diatta A. 28. Macia C. 19. Barry M. 11. Lopez H. 24. Arguigue Safsati A.
Substitutes
17. Alexiel 7. Awudu T. 13. Barrios F. (G) 14. Bujan U. 4. Castellano A. 10. Gil A. 27. Haruna M. 21. Llacer L. 31. Pineda D. 32. Shine Adamadu 29. Vasile C.	33. Bonafe C. 36. El Jmili N. 10. Eto'o E. 14. Fores A. 25. Kinareykin Y. (G) 16. Pascual P. 21. Rodriguez I. 15. Tidiane Thiam C. 23. Valou J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Sierra I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Ruiz A. 🟨,
56', Barry M. ↓, El Jmili N. ↑,
56', Macia C. ↓, Tidiane Thiam C. ↑,
71', Lopez H. ↓, Eto'o E. ↑,
72', Arguigue Safsati A. ↓, Bonafe C. ↑,
74', Ohemeng E. ↓, Awudu T. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Eto'o E. ⚽,
81', Selma D. ↓, Alexiel ↑,
89', Ruiz A. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
89', Gaitan J. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+7', Gil A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marbella won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Marbella won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Villarreal B	6	4	1	1	12:6	6	13

Last Results with these Odds

Marbella - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.12%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Villarreal B - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 32.71%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.03.26	Hércules - Marbella	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Marbella - Sevilla B	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Ibiza - Marbella	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Real Murcia - Marbella	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Marbella - CE Europa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LWWTL
- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.03.26	Villarreal B - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Antequera - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Villarreal B - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Teruel - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Villarreal B - Eldense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.01.26	Villarreal B - Marbella	3:1
09.03.25	Marbella - Villarreal B	0:2
08.12.24	Villarreal B - Marbella	1:1

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