Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcorcón		Yeclano Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	2.1	3.2	3.4
	2.25	3.01	3.43
	2.19	3.06	3.29	Watch
	2.22	3.13	3.21
	2.1	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.08)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	3.3 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
42.5%

Draw
29.8%

Yeclano Deportivo
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.7%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Yeclano Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Alcorcón - Yeclano Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 19. Pola J. 5. Rentero J. 30. Rodriguez S. 21. Llorente R. 8. Ballesteros Y. 23. Navarro D. 10. Rodriguez R. 11. Kopotun V. 7. Aparicio E.	1. Martinez I. (G) 18. Olmedo V. 4. Gabri 2. Sanchez A. 14. Lopez A. 19. Errahaly M. 10. Perez P. 8. Juanje 21. Satoca J. 22. Sutherland T. 9. Naranjo J.
Substitutes
16. Capitas M. 13. Josele (G) 22. Lachevre M. 28. Lhery Y. 15. Manrique C. 32. Nico 12. Nunez J. 6. Ramos D. 4. Rojas J. 18. Stitch	11. de Pedro D. 13. Marti B. (G) 27. Martinez R. 16. Martin J. 5. Masogo A. 3. Morros 23. Serpeta 17. Solsona J. 15. Traore M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Navarro D. 🟨,
29', Juanje 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Ballesteros Y. ⚽,
34', Olmedo V. 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Naranjo J. ↓, Serpeta ↑,
46', Lopez A. ↓, Solsona J. ↑,
49', Aparicio E. 🟨,
62', Llorente R. ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
62', Aparicio E. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
76', Perez P. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Kopotun V. (Pen),
84', Sanchez A. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
85', Rodriguez R. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
85', Navarro D. ↓, Lachevre M. ↑,
85', 🟨,
90+1', Rojas J. 🟨,
90+3', Kopotun V. ↓, Lhery Y. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Alcorcón could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcorcón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.04.25	Hércules - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Alcorcón - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Algeciras - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Betis B - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLWW
- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.04.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Algeciras	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Antequera - Yeclano Deportivo	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Betis B	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Recreativo Huelva - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.08.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Alcorcón	1:1

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