Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 34

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo de la Constitucion (Yecla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Yeclano Deportivo		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	1.75	2.88	5
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.86	3.05	4.7
	1.84	3.17	4.8
	1.83	3.14	4.52	Watch
	1.83	3.01	5.23
	1.86	3.05	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.05)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	4.69 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeclano Deportivo
50.3%

Draw
30.1%

Algeciras
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.6%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeclano Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yeclano Deportivo's performance.

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Algeciras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yeclano Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Algeciras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yeclano Deportivo - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez I. (G) 18. Olmedo V. 6. Mayorga A. 2. Sanchez A. 4. Gabri (C) 3. Morros 22. Sutherland T. 8. Juanje 21. Satoca J. 19. Errahaly M. 17. Solsona J.	13. Garcia L. (G) 20. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 5. Gaixas A. 22. Coch A. 3. Merchan D. 14. Javi Alonso 24. Larrea P. 10. Esteban Diego 19. Illesca M. 17. Leiva A. 9. Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L.
Substitutes
11. de Pedro D. 14. Lopez A. 13. Marti B. (G) 27. Martinez R. 16. Martin J. 5. Masogo A. 9. Naranjo J. 10. Perez P. 23. Serpeta 15. Traore M.	31. Dominiguez C. 15. Fernandez M. 18. Hernandez Garcia J. 27. Recagno D. 4. Spatz L. M. 8. Turrillo I. 1. Venteo I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Mayorga A. 🟨,
18', Satoca J. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Esteban Diego (Pen),
26', Sanchez A. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
29', 1 - 1, Solsona J. ⚽,
37', Olmedo V. 🟨,
42', Esteban Diego 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Solsona J. ⚽,
52', Larrea P. 🟨,
54', Gabri 🟨,
59', Javi Alonso ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Celorio N. ⚽,
69', Sutherland T. ↓, Serpeta ↑,
72', Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. 🟨,
78', Morros ↓, Naranjo J. ↑,
88', 🟨,
88', Esteban Diego ↓, Spatz L. M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Yeclano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Algeciras is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Yeclano is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Yeclano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Yeclano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.04.25	Antequera - Yeclano Deportivo	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Betis B	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Recreativo Huelva - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Mérida AD - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLTL
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.04.25	Algeciras - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Algeciras - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Villarreal B - Algeciras	0:3 ✺
30.03.25	Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Antequera - Algeciras	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.12.24	Algeciras - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.01.20	Yeclano Deportivo - Algeciras	4:1
08.09.19	Algeciras - Yeclano Deportivo	3:2

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