Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 16

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday


	Alcorcón B		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.85
	2.7	2.8	3
	2.42	2.95	2.8
	2.59	3.02	2.83
	2.49	3.04	2.76
	2.44	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.16)	2.96 ↓ (2.97)	2.84 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
36.8%

Draw
31%

Atlético Paso
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcorcón B's form might have worsened.

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Paso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcorcón B - Atlético Paso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.12.22	Melilla - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
10.12.22	Alcorcón B - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
03.12.22	Leganés B - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Alcorcón B - Montijo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.12.22	Atlético Paso - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.12.22	Atlético Paso - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Montijo - Atlético Paso	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Atlético Paso - Coria	0:2 ✺
30.11.22	Estepona - Atlético Paso	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWLL

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