Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 10

Date: 30 November 2022, Wednesday


	Estepona		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2.06	3.1	3.3
	1.96	3.01	3.54
	1.83	3.2	4
	2.01	3.18	3.55
	2.12	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.69)	3.13 ↓ (3.24)	3.48 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
45.2%

Draw
28.9%

Atlético Paso
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

28.1%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

27.5%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estepona's form might have worsened.

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Paso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estepona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Paso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

Estepona - Atlético Paso Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Estepona will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Atlético Paso will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Paso: 64.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Estepona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Atlético Paso is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Estepona is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.22	Estepona - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Villanovense - Estepona	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Melilla - Estepona	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Estepona - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
16.10.22	Alcorcón B - Estepona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLTWW
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.22	Don Benito - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Atlético Paso - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Atlético Paso - Real Murcia	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.10.22	Atlético Paso - Atlético Madrid B	2:4 ✺
23.10.22	Unión Adarve - Atlético Paso	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWLT

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