Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 12Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Parla |
|
Carabanchel |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.72 |
2.92 |
2.48 |
|
 |
1.52 |
4.13 |
5.47 |
 Watch |
 |
2.9 |
2.99 |
2.37 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.55) |
3.35 ↑
(3) |
3.44 ↑
(2.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Parla
41.6% | Draw
29.6% | Carabanchel
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Parla's performance.Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carabanchel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parla than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Parla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carabanchel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Parla - Carabanchel Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Carabanchel (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carabanchel (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Pastor N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 0, Gonzalez V. ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 1, El Hilali A. ⚽,
- 82', Ramirez de Arroba A. 🟥,
- 83', 3 - 1, Ezequiel B. (Pen),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parla won 2.Recent form of Parla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Carabanchel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Parla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Parla won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.7:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Parla won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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