Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alcoyano		Girona B

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.35	4.65
	1.65	3.48	5.17	Watch
	1.67	3.25	5
	1.7	3.34	4.74
	1.64	3.4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.11)	3.36 ↑ (2.97)	4.98 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
54.7%

Draw
27%

Girona B
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

31%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

30.2%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcoyano's performance.

Girona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Girona B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcoyano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona B than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Girona B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcoyano - Girona B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Soler J. ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, Soler J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).

Alcoyano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Girona B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Girona B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alcoyano could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alcoyano - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.61%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.12.25	Espanyol B - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Alcoyano - Barcelona B	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Terrassa - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Alcoyano - Porreres	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Olot - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWTWT
- Girona B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.12.25	Girona B - Castellon B	7:3 ✺
07.12.25	Valencia B - Girona B	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Girona B - Sant Andreu	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Girona B	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Girona B - Barbastro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLT

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