Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alcoyano		Porreres

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.6	6.3
	1.74	3.37	4.63	Watch
	1.57	3.66	6.28
	1.72	3.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.72)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	5.48 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
56.7%

Draw
26.5%

Porreres
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

27.8%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

27%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Porreres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porreres than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Alcoyano - Porreres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Catala R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Chinchilla S. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Alcoyano is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
16.11.25	Olot - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Alcoyano - Atlètic Lleida	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Alcoyano - Reus FC Reddis	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Atlético Baleares - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLLT
- UE Porreres
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
16.11.25	Porreres - Castellon B	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Olot - Porreres	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Porreres - Sant Andreu	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Valencia B - Porreres	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Porreres - Barbastro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTWTL

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