Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 31

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Alcúdia		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.65	1.52
	5.92	3.97	1.49
	5.44	3.75	1.57
	5.5	3.4	1.57
	5.59	3.66	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↓ (5.76)	3.69 ↓ (3.9)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcúdia
16.3%

Draw
24.7%

Peña Deportiva
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

23.3%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

22.7%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcúdia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Alcúdia - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, ⚽,
45', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

Alcúdia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Peña Deportiva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Peña Deportiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Peña Deportiva is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alcúdia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Alcúdia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Alcudia	5	2	0	3	10:11	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Alcúdia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
11.04.26	Portmany - Alcúdia	3:1 ✺
01.04.26	Alcúdia - Rotlet Molinar	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Collerense - Alcúdia	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Alcúdia - Santanyí	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Son Cladera - Alcúdia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTW
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.04.26	Peña Deportiva - Mallorca B	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Platges de Calvià - Peña Deportiva	0:4 ✺
29.03.26	Peña Deportiva - Formentera	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Inter Ibiza - Peña Deportiva	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Peña Deportiva - Llosetense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
14.12.25	Peña Deportiva - Alcúdia	5:1
24.03.19	Peña Deportiva - Alcúdia	3:1
24.10.18	Alcúdia - Peña Deportiva	1:1

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