Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 28Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday
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Collerense |
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Alcúdia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.18 |
3.15 |
2.98 |
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 |
2.18 |
3.15 |
3.24 |
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 |
1.44 |
4.34 |
6.35 |
 Watch |
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2.2 |
3 |
3.1 |
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 |
2.16 |
3.08 |
3.19 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.57) |
3.34 ↑
(3.15) |
3.77 ↑
(2.48) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Collerense
46.6% | Draw
28.3% | Alcúdia
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Collerense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Collerense's performance.Alcúdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcúdia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collerense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcúdia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Collerense - Alcúdia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 16', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 37', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 40', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 4 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).In recent matches, Collerense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Alcúdia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Collerense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).Including home match between the teams, Collerense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Alcudia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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