Match Info

National League - Round 3

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Aldershot Town		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.63
	1.88	3.3	3.5
	2.28	3.35	2.88
	2.47	3.38	2.87
	2.56	3.11	2.75	Watch
	2	3.3	3.6
	2.43	3.49	2.69
	2.2	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.2)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	2.97 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
40.9%

Draw
27.7%

Eastleigh
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Aldershot Town - Eastleigh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aldershot (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Eastleigh (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Eastleigh (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aldershot Town will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Aldershot (votes: 2 - 50%). Eastleigh (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dewhurst M. (G) 12. Anderson K. 10. Barrett J. 32. Clarridge J. 23. Ghandour H. 7. Hargreaves C. (C) 19. Hill R. 14. Meerholz J. 24. Mullins M. 25. Nightingale W. 34. Tetek D.	1. Townsend N. (G) 11. Blair A. 2. Brindley R. 24. Cousins J. 6. Eweka T. 5. Fernandez L. 27. Harris A. 17. Lundstram J. 9. McCallum P. (C) 16. Pierre A. 18. Waruih A.
Substitutes
30. Abrahams T. 26. Lewis-Evans J. 16. Nash P. (G) 18. Rai K. 28. Taylor A. 9. Thomas K. 38. Watson N.	21. Davis S. 7. Evans K. 23. Holzman L. 34. Ingram F. 14. Massiah-Edwards Z. 22. McNamara J. (G) 30. Underhill C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Nightingale W. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Blair A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Pierre A. ⚽,
48', Meerholz J. 🟨,
53', 0 - 3, Eweka T. ⚽, Harris A. (A),
55', 1 - 3, Hill R. (Pen),
55', Anderson K. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
55', Mullins M. ↓, Taylor A. ↑,
58', Tetek D. 🟨,
62', Pierre A. 🟨,
64', Fernandez L. 🟨,
69', Blair A. ↓, Massiah-Edwards Z. ↑,
74', 2 - 3, Hill R. (Pen),
76', Barrett J. ↓, Abrahams T. ↑,
79', Eweka T. 🟨,
87', Waruih A. ↓, Evans K. ↑,
89', McCallum P. 🟥,
90+4', Meerholz J. ↓, Rai K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 2.

Recent performances by Aldershot have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eastleigh has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aldershot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aldershot could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Aldershot won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Aldershot Town - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.42%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Eastleigh - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.54%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
16.08.25	Aldershot Town - Boston United	2:3 ✺
English National League Cup
12.08.25	Aldershot Town - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
09.08.25	Altrincham - Aldershot Town	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Eastbourne Borough - Aldershot Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWW
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
16.08.25	Eastleigh - Gateshead	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Brackley Town - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Farnborough - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Maidenhead United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Eastleigh - Swindon Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.02.25	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	2:0
19.10.24	Aldershot Town - Eastleigh	2:1
16.12.23	Aldershot Town - Eastleigh	3:5
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	2:3 penalties
English National League
28.08.23	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	3:0
10.04.23	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	3:3
04.10.22	Aldershot Town - Eastleigh	0:0

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