The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aldershot Town 50.6%
Draw 23.2%
Gateshead 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
23.3%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
22.9%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+1%)
Aldershot Town - Gateshead Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 31. Sheckleford R. 22. Scott O. 25. Nightingale W. 33. Inwood S. 7. Hargreaves C. 19. Hill R. (C) 23. Ghandour H. 6. Widdrington T. 34. Tetek D. 20. Stewart C.
47. Desbois A. (G) 28. Storey L. 3. Ferguson D. (C) 6. Nicholson B. 20. Fenton J. 8. Bowen S. 22. Anifowose J. 17. Home J. 21. Chadwick B. 32. Chapman H. 29. Boatswain A.
Substitutes
12. Anderson K. 8. Frost T. 15. Grogan C. 16. Nash P. (G) 11. Peart B. 9. Thomas K. 24. Warren C.
15. Amantchi L. 19. Beck M. 10. Butterfield J. 18. Grayson J. 25. Moore E. 11. Newton T. 31. Williams B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Chapman H. ⚽, Chadwick B. (A),
16', Ghandour H. ↓, Peart B. ↑,
45+1', Boatswain A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Inwood S. 🟨,
48', Bowen S. 🟨,
68', Boatswain A. ↓, Moore E. ↑,
68', Bowen S. ↓, Newton T. ↑,
72', Peart B. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
72', Sheckleford R. ↓, Warren C. ↑,
72', Tetek D. ↓, Frost T. ↑,
74', Anifowose J. 🟨,
79', Desbois A. 🟨,
79', Anifowose J. ↓, Grayson J. ↑,
79', Chadwick B. ↓, Amantchi L. ↑,
82', Scott O. 🟨,
87', Chapman H. ↓, Beck M. ↑,
90+3', Stewart C. 🟨,
90+3', Fenton J. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 19 and 18)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 2.
Aldershot is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gateshead is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Aldershot will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Aldershot won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).