Match Info

National League - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sutton United		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.7	3.1
	2.02	3.8	3.1
	1.99	4.03	3.13	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3
	1.96	3.68	3.16
	2	4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.93)	3.82 ↓ (4.01)	3.11 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
46.3%

Draw
24.1%

Aldershot Town
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

23.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

22.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Sutton United - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sutton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 44. Mrisho O. 42. Muller H. 16. Taylor J. 15. Tizzard W. 28. Jennings K. 25. Taylor J. (C) 8. Simper L. 23. Harris J. J. 18. Ogbonna D. 9. Rodari D.	41. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 6. Widdrington T. 15. Grogan C. 33. Inwood S. 10. Barrett J. 19. Hill R. (C) 17. Henry J. 25. Nightingale W. 34. Tetek D. 24. Warren C. 42. Penney M.
Substitutes
21. Aziaya D. (G) 37. Bell C. 17. Jones A. 34. Njoku B. 36. Urpens D. 12. Vaz E. 45. Vorster G.	36. Armitage W. 23. Ghandour H. 7. Hargreaves C. 11. Jones R. 16. Nash P. (G) 18. Rai K. 9. Thomas K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Hill R. 🟨,
45+3', Muller H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mrisho O. ↓, Vaz E. ↑,
58', Henry J. ↓, Hargreaves C. ↑,
60', Harris J. J. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
66', Grogan C. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sutton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sutton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
21.12.25	Solihull Moors - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Walton & Hersham - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Sutton United - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ET ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Sutton United - Gateshead	4:2 ✺
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Sutton United - Southampton U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW
- Aldershot Town
English National League Cup
23.12.25	Aldershot Town - West Ham United U21	1:5 ✺
English National League
20.12.25	Boston United - Aldershot Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Aldershot Town - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	York City - Aldershot Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.04.25	Aldershot Town - Sutton United	1:1
01.01.25	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	1:1
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	0:1
24.07.21	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	1:2
English National League
01.05.21	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	3:1
06.10.20	Aldershot Town - Sutton United	1:2
26.08.19	Aldershot Town - Sutton United	1:1

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