Match Info

National League - Round 15

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	DAZN
Argentina	16:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bolivia	15:45	DAZN
Brazil	16:45	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	21:45	DAZN
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada
Croatia	20:45	DAZN
Cyprus	21:45	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:45	DAZN
Denmark	20:45	DAZN
Ecuador	14:45	DAZN
Finland	21:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	DAZN
Hungary	20:45	DAZN
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Latvia	21:45	DAZN
Lithuania	21:45	DAZN
New Zealand	08:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	20:45	DAZN
Paraguay	16:45	DAZN
Poland	20:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	21:45	DAZN
Serbia	20:45	DAZN
Slovenia	20:45	DAZN
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	DAZN
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	DAZN
Turkey	22:45	DAZN Turkiye
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	DAZN
Usa	15:45	DAZN USA
Venezuela	15:45	DAZN
International	19:45	DAZN National League


	Sutton United		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.60	3.70
	1.82	3.50	3.50
	1.91	3.55	3.55
	1.92	3.72	3.87
	1.88	3.64	3.8	Watch
	1.89	3.65	3.80
	1.78	3.58	3.78
	1.83	3.60	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.05)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)	3.72 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
49.6%

Draw
25.6%

Aldershot Town
24.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

27.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

26.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Sutton United - Aldershot Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brits S. (G) 20. Francis J. 4. Kirk A. 15. Moore-Taylor J. 27. Brookes B. 14. Mussa O. 19. Knight J. 7. Osadebe E. 10. Carter C. (C) 18. Ogbonna D. 11. Folarin S.	1. Hayes N. (G) 2. Efete M. 5. Oshilaja K. (C) 17. Dyce T. 3. Harfield O. 11. Sandah H. 6. Odusanya D. 21. Peart B. 9. Dinanga M. 10. Tuma B. 4. Borgnis J.
Substitutes
26. Amartey B. 9. Babalola T. 6. Bell C. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 16. Njoku B. 3. Topalloj B. 12. Urpens D.	7. Abrahams T. 23. Lawless C. 29. Lewis A. 26. Lewis-Evans J. 16. Matton J. 13. Patmore C. (G) 20. Wyllie M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Carter C. ⚽,
10', Knight J. 🟨,
11', 2 - 0, Ogbonna D. ⚽, Osadebe E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Knight J. ↓, Bell C. ↑,
46', Dinanga M. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
46', Sandah H. ↓, Lawless C. ↑,
46', Borgnis J. ↓, Abrahams T. ↑,
70', Mussa O. ↓, Babalola T. ↑,
72', Tuma B. 🟨,
75', Dyce T. ↓, Matton J. ↑,
77', Folarin S. ↓, Urpens D. ↑,
77', Carter C. ↓, Amartey B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 0.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Aldershot may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Sutton carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Sutton has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:19 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sutton against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.4:0.9 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Sutton United - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.96%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Aldershot Town - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.93%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
24.10.26	Harrogate Town - Sutton United	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Sutton United - Truro City	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
13.10.26	Sutton United - West Bromwich Albion U21	3:2 ✺
English National League
09.10.26	Sutton United - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLT
- Aldershot Town
English National League
24.10.26	Aldershot Town - Wealdstone	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
20.10.26	Tadley Calleva - Aldershot Town	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Aldershot Town - Tadley Calleva	2:2 ✺
English National League Cup
13.10.26	Aldershot Town - Norwich City U21	5:3 ✺
English National League
10.10.26	Altrincham - Aldershot Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
03.04.26	Aldershot Town - Sutton United	2:2
26.12.25	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	0:0
18.04.25	Aldershot Town - Sutton United	1:1
01.01.25	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	1:1
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	0:1
24.07.21	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	1:2
English National League
01.05.21	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	3:1

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