Match Info

Date: 23 November 2021, Tuesday


	Aldosivi		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	3.2	3.05	2.17
	3.38	3.35	2.27
	2.87	3.1	2.5
	3.24	3.35	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.73)	3.2 ↓ (3.23)	2.27 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
29.3%

Draw
29.3%

San Lorenzo
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

22%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aldosivi's form might have worsened.

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Lorenzo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aldosivi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Lorenzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	46.4%	28.6%

Aldosivi - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 7 - 25%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 46.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.9% – 64.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Aldosivi has the most likely position - 21 (11.51%), has project points - 27, has currently - 24, has not chance of win league.

San Lorenzo has the most likely position - 25 (15.81%), has project points - 25, has currently - 20, has not chance of win league.

Recent matches Aldosivi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Lorenzo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldosivi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.11.21	Banfield - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
08.11.21	Aldosivi - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
01.11.21	Central Córdoba - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
25.10.21	Aldosivi - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
21.10.21	Newells Old Boys - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLTWT
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.11.21	San Lorenzo - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Vélez Sársfield - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	San Lorenzo - Godoy Cruz	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
20.10.21	San Lorenzo - Lanús	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.03.21	San Lorenzo - Aldosivi	1:2
07.12.20	San Lorenzo - Aldosivi	0:0
14.11.20	Aldosivi - San Lorenzo	1:4
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.20	Aldosivi - San Lorenzo	1:3
02.12.18	Aldosivi - San Lorenzo	2:2
21.05.17	San Lorenzo - Aldosivi	0:1
19.04.15	Aldosivi - San Lorenzo	1:0

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