The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vélez Sársfield 48.2%
Draw 29.5%
San Lorenzo 22.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.1%
30.3%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
29.4%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Vélez Sársfield - San Lorenzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 9th).
Vélez is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.
Vélez is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
San Lorenzo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vélez carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vélez has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:19 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vélez against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:6 goals (averaging 0.6:0.8 per game).