Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
South-america	ESPN South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Aldosivi		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	6	3.3	1.58	Watch
	4.8	3.2	1.82
	5.3	3.3	1.75
	5.67	3.27	1.74
	5.83	3.12	1.75	Watch
	3.8	3.1	2
	6.31	3.3	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↑ (3.4)	3.23 ↑ (3.23)	1.76 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
17.5%

Draw
29.1%

Boca Juniors
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

29.1%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

29.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aldosivi's form might have worsened.

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aldosivi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	18.2%	81.8%

Aldosivi - Boca Juniors Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Boca Juniors (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Boca Juniors (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carranza J. (C) 44. Cerato G. 20. Cabral Y. 15. Laquidain S. 3. Guerrico I. 27. Gino F. 5. Bochi R. 51. Garcia M. 8. Serrago T. 33. Cervera T. 10. Garcia M.	25. Marchesin A. (G) 24. Barinaga J. 40. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 23. Blanco L. 33. Aguirre B. 6. Battaglia R. 5. Paredes L. 8. Carlos Palacios 16. Miguel Merentiel 10. Cavani E.
Substitutes
22. De La Vega F. 29. Esponda M. 30. Falasco L. 4. Gonzalez R. 7. Guzman N. 2. Kummer T. 21. Leiva T. 17. Moyano S. (G) 55. Moya S. 11. Palavecino A. 18. Preciado E. 9. Rodriguez E.	17. Advincula L. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 43. Delgado M. 18. Fabra F. 4. Figal J. 9. Gimenez M. 11. Janson L. 34. Mendia M. 20. Velasco A. 7. Zeballos E.
Coaches
Charlier M.	Russo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Gino F. 🟨,
42', Costa A. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Di Lollo L. ⚽, Carlos Palacios (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Garcia M. ↓, Leiva T. ↑,
46', Garcia M. ↓, Preciado E. ↑,
65', Gino F. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
67', Aguirre B. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
67', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
74', Cervera T. ↓, De La Vega F. ↑,
74', Bochi R. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
74', Leiva T. 🟨,
77', Cabral Y. 🟨,
77', Cavani E. 🟨,
80', 0 - 2, Battaglia R. ⚽, Paredes L. (A),
82', Carlos Palacios ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
90+3', Marchesin A. ↓, Brey L. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 0.

Aldosivi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Boca Juniors has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N. (Knee Injury) Chavez L. (Muscle Injury) Godoy F. (Foot Injury) Mottes G. (Muscle Injury) Roman F. (Knee Injury) Villarreal A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Belmonte T. (Muscle Injury) Blondel L. (Inactive) Herrera A. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury) Zenon K. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aldosivi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.21%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.08.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Aldosivi - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Barracas Central - Aldosivi	3:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
31.07.25	Aldosivi - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.07.25	Aldosivi - Newells Old Boys	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLT
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.08.25	Boca Juniors - Banfield	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Boca Juniors - Racing	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
23.07.25	Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.02.25	Boca Juniors - Aldosivi	2:1
09.10.22	Boca Juniors - Aldosivi	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.02.22	Aldosivi - Boca Juniors	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.11.21	Aldosivi - Boca Juniors	0:3
18.08.19	Boca Juniors - Aldosivi	2:0
06.04.19	Aldosivi - Boca Juniors	1:1
Torneos De Verano
20.01.19	Boca Juniors - Aldosivi	2:1

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