Match Info

3. Liga - Round 31

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: New Tivoli (Aachen)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 10, SportKlub 9
Germany	Magenta Sport
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 10
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Alemannia Aachen		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.5
	3	3.3	2.3
	2.75	3.2	2.55
	2.78	3.21	2.54
	3	3	2.3
	2.69	3.27	2.56	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.02)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	2.47 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
33.2%

Draw
29.1%

Arminia Bielefeld
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.8%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

29%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Alemannia Aachen - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aachen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Arminia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arminia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Aachen (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aachen (votes: 1 - 50%). Arminia (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Olschowsky J. (G) 19. Heister F. 15. Hanraths M. (C) 34. Nkoa P. 25. Yarbrough L. 8. Scepanik L. 18. El-Faouzi S. 28. Wiebe D. 9. Bahn B. 44. Castelle N. H. 21. Heinz A.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 4. Oppie L. 38. Worl M. 21. Russo S. 6. Corboz M. (C) 11. Grodowski J. 7. Kania J. 30. Young I.
Substitutes
36. Ademi F. 10. Bakhat A. 29. Beleme D. 35. Benschop C. 23. Bordner E. (G) 11. Goden K. 4. Meyer F. 13. Rumpf J. 5. Strujic S.	17. Biankadi M. 3. Felix J. 2. Hagmann F. 13. Kunze L. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 43. Richter D. 37. Sarenren Bazee N. J. 8. Schreck S. 22. Schroers M.
Coaches
Backhaus H.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Young I. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. J. ↑,
46', Kania J. ↓, Kunze L. ↑,
46', Grodowski J. ↓, Biankadi M. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Biankadi M. ⚽, Kunze L. (A),
60', Olschowsky J. 🟥,
63', Heinz A. ↓, Bakhat A. ↑,
63', Bahn B. ↓, Bordner E. ↑,
72', Yarbrough L. ↓, Strujic S. ↑,
76', Scepanik L. ↓, Goden K. ↑,
76', Castelle N. H. ↓, Benschop C. ↑,
86', Worl M. ↓, Hagmann F. ↑,
90+4', Corboz M. ↓, Felix J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 4).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Arminia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Aachen: Goden K. (Muscle Injury) Winter N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Arminia: Boujellab N. (Inactive) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Aachen: Putaro L. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aachen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Aachen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Arminia Bielefeld - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.43%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
German 3 Bundesliga
29.03.25	Unterhaching - Alemannia Aachen	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.03.25	Lierse - Alemannia Aachen	0:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
16.03.25	Alemannia Aachen - Hansa Rostock	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Ingolstadt - Alemannia Aachen	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Alemannia Aachen - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWL
- Arminia Bielefeld
German DFB Pokal
01.04.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Bayer Leverkusen	2:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
29.03.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover II	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Osnabrück - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Saarbrücken	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Verl - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Alemannia Aachen	1:1
Club Friendly
24.01.15	Arminia Bielefeld - Alemannia Aachen	3:1
German 3 Bundesliga
01.12.12	Alemannia Aachen - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1
20.07.12	Arminia Bielefeld - Alemannia Aachen	1:1

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