Match Info

3. Liga - Round 4

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Ingolstadt		Alemannia Aachen

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.60	2.60	Watch
	2.35	3.70	2.65
	2.23	3.60	2.75	Watch
	2.32	3.78	2.88
	2.2	3.82	2.83	Watch
	2.35	3.70	2.65
	2.30	3.76	2.72	Watch
	2.34	3.65	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.67)	3.7 ↑ (3.67)	2.72 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
40.7%

Draw
25.1%

Alemannia Aachen
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

24.5%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ingolstadt's performance.

Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alemannia Aachen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ingolstadt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alemannia Aachen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Ingolstadt - Alemannia Aachen Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Klein D. (G) 6. Antzoulas G. 4. Decker E. 15. Scholz J. 5. Gul E. 41. Sapina V. 14. Plath M. 20. Deichmann Y. 8. Carlsen F. 28. Velupillay N. 13. Lokotsch L. (C)	23. Bajic S. (G) 37. Kiala J. 2. Bagkalianis P. 3. Wagner M. 44. Oehmichen J. 21. Jung G. 28. Wiebe D. (C) 7. Scepanik L. 8. Koster L. 10. Loune M. 27. Schroers M.
Substitutes
27. Bagaric T. 30. Drakulic O. 11. Durakov S. 34. Frode L. 16. Ganda J. 23. Maljojoki J. 43. Oladosu O. 1. Ponath M. (G) 7. Seo Jong-min	19. Bitumazala N. 20. Ermolaev G. 18. Izekor K. 29. Koscierski K. 4. Leonard D. 1. Riemann M. (G) 9. Starodid D. 30. von der Hitz J. 11. Waschenbach M.
Coaches
Wittmann S.	Selimbegovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', Wiebe D. 🟨,
4', Decker E. 🟥,
6', 0 - 1, Scepanik L. ⚽,
8', 0 - 2, Schroers M. ⚽, Oehmichen J. (A),
9', Gul E. ↓, Frode L. ↑,
11', 0 - 3, Koster L. ⚽, Loune M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Scholz J. 🟨,
70', Wagner M. ↓, Koscierski K. ↑,
70', Wiebe D. ↓, von der Hitz J. ↑,
72', Sapina V. ↓, Ganda J. ↑,
80', Jung G. 🟨,
80', Koster L. ↓, Ermolaev G. ↑,
83', Carlsen F. ↓, Durakov S. ↑,
87', Jung G. ↓, Leonard D. ↑,
87', Loune M. ↓, Waschenbach M. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Ingolstadt has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11:8	3	11
15	Ingolstadt	7	2	2	3	7:11	-4	8

Last Results with these Odds

Ingolstadt - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.74%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Alemannia Aachen - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.98%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
29.08.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Ingolstadt	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Preußen Münster - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Ingolstadt - Würzburger Kickers	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Heidenheim - Ingolstadt	4:1 ✺
25.07.26	RB Leipzig - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTTLL
- Alemannia Aachen
German 3 Bundesliga
29.08.26	Alemannia Aachen - Meppen	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Fortuna Köln - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Alemannia Aachen - Verl	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Alemannia Aachen - Eintracht Trier	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Roda - Alemannia Aachen	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Ingolstadt - Alemannia Aachen	1:2
18.10.25	Alemannia Aachen - Ingolstadt	0:1
11.03.25	Ingolstadt - Alemannia Aachen	0:3
05.10.24	Alemannia Aachen - Ingolstadt	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
08.04.12	Ingolstadt - Alemannia Aachen	3:3

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