Match Info

3. Liga - Round 29

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: New Tivoli (Aachen)

Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Alemannia Aachen		Energie Cottbus

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.62	3.55	2.4
	2.66	3.66	2.53
	2.69	3.59	2.39	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.4
	2.61	3.58	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.68)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	2.43 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
35.6%

Draw
26.3%

Energie Cottbus
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.2%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

27.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Energie Cottbus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Alemannia Aachen - Energie Cottbus Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aachen will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Cottbus will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cottbus: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aachen (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cottbus (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cottbus (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Aachen (votes: 1 - 25%). Cottbus (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Riemann M. (C) 37. da Silva Kiala J. 33. Wegmann M. 2. Bagalianis P. 29. Nadjombe P. 24. Oehmichen J. 36. Ademi F. 3. Wagner M. 11. Loune M. 27. Schroers M. 23. Gindorf L.	33. Funk M. (G) 44. Straudi S. 23. Awortwie-Grant N. 22. Cvjetinovic M. 24. Lucoqui A. 5. Pelivan D. 20. Borgmann A. (C) 11. Hannemann M. 10. Cigerci T. 31. Butler J. 18. Engelhardt E.
Substitutes
8. Bahn B. 44. Castelle N. H. 16. Pseftis F. (G) 42. Sillah O. 5. Strujic S. 9. Sulejmani V. 17. Torsiello F. 28. Wiebe D. 25. Yarbrough L.	37. Biankadi M. 19. Boziaris J. 4. Campulka T. 32. Heidrich F. 17. Moustfa C. Y. 3. Rorig H. 1. Sebald A. (G) 25. Tattermusch T. 7. Thiele T.
Coaches
Selimbegovic M.	Wollitz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Wagner M. 🟨,
32', da Silva Kiala J. 🟨,
34', Borgmann A. 🟨,
40', Bagalianis P. 🟨,
45+2', Butler J. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Butler J. ↓, Biankadi M. ↑,
50', Lucoqui A. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Ademi F. ⚽, Gindorf L. (A),
61', Hannemann M. ↓, Moustfa C. Y. ↑,
61', Lucoqui A. ↓, Rorig H. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Schroers M. ⚽, Gindorf L. (A),
74', Ademi F. 🟨,
75', Schroers M. ↓, Sillah O. ↑,
75', Loune M. ↓, Wiebe D. ↑,
79', Nadjombe P. ↓, Castelle N. H. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Biankadi M. ⚽, Borgmann A. (A),
86', 3 - 1, Wegmann M. ⚽, Oehmichen J. (A),
87', Cvjetinovic M. ↓, Thiele T. ↑,
87', Straudi S. ↓, Boziaris J. ↑,
90', Moustfa C. Y. 🟨,
90+2', Ademi F. ↓, Bahn B. ↑,
90+2', Wagner M. ↓, Strujic S. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 1, Oehmichen J. ⚽, Castelle N. H. (A),
90:00, Gindorf L. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aachen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Aachen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Alemannia Aachen: 3.97%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alemannia Aachen	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Alemannia Aachen - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.26%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Energie Cottbus - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.52%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
German 3 Bundesliga
07.03.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Alemannia Aachen - Schweinfurt	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Alemannia Aachen	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Alemannia Aachen - Verl	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Ulm 1846 - Alemannia Aachen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLWW
- Energie Cottbus
German 3 Bundesliga
07.03.26	Energie Cottbus - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Energie Cottbus	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Energie Cottbus - Verl	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Energie Cottbus - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
04.10.25	Energie Cottbus - Alemannia Aachen	3:2
31.01.25	Alemannia Aachen - Energie Cottbus	0:0
24.08.24	Energie Cottbus - Alemannia Aachen	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
10.02.12	Energie Cottbus - Alemannia Aachen	N/A

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