Match Info

3. Liga - Round 28

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue)

Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, WDR Fernsehen
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	Onefootball


	Erzgebirge Aue		Alemannia Aachen

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.25	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.6
	2.58	3.4	2.48	Watch
	2.83	3.62	2.41
	2.46	3.59	2.61	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.3
	2.73	3.46	2.42	Watch
	2.4	3.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.4)	3.45 ↓ (3.48)	2.46 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
35.5%

Draw
26.8%

Alemannia Aachen
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.3%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Aachen will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mannel M. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 16. Malone R. 11. Uhlmann E. 29. Collins J. 19. Guttau J. 5. Simnica L. 34. Stefaniak M. 24. Ehlers J. 15. Bar M. 45. Ocansey V. A. F.	1. Riemann M. (G) 37. da Silva Kiala J. 2. Bagalianis P. 33. Wegmann M. 29. Nadjombe P. 24. Oehmichen J. 10. Gaudino G. 3. Wagner M. 11. Loune M. 23. Gindorf L. 27. Schroers M.
Substitutes
9. Bornschein R. 8. Clausen M. 20. Fabisch J. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 39. Schmid M. 30. Seiffert M. 36. Uhlig M. (G) 7. Weinhauer E. 25. Zobel T.	36. Ademi F. 8. Bahn B. 44. Castelle N. H. 14. Elekwa E. 16. Pseftis F. (G) 42. Sillah O. 5. Strujic S. 9. Sulejmani V. 25. Yarbrough L.
Coaches
Dabrowski C.	Selimbegovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', da Silva Kiala J. 🟨,
22', Collins J. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Gindorf L. ⚽, Schroers M. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Gindorf L. ⚽, Loune M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Stefaniak M. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
46', Ocansey V. A. F. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
46', Guttau J. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Malone R. ⚽, Weinhauer E. (A),
60', da Silva Kiala J. ↓, Yarbrough L. ↑,
69', Loune M. ↓, Ademi F. ↑,
76', Fallmann P. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Nadjombe P. ⚽, Ademi F. (A),
81', Simnica L. ↓, Fabisch J. ↑,
84', Ademi F. 🟨,
88', Schroers M. ↓, Sillah O. ↑,
88', Gindorf L. ↓, Castelle N. H. ↑,
88', Wagner M. ↓, Strujic S. ↑,
90+6', Ehlers J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Aue is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aachen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Aue won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11:8	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
03.03.26	1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Viktoria Köln - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTT
- Alemannia Aachen
German 3 Bundesliga
04.03.26	Alemannia Aachen - Schweinfurt	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Alemannia Aachen	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Alemannia Aachen - Verl	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Ulm 1846 - Alemannia Aachen	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
30.09.25	Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1
08.02.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen	1:1
31.08.24	Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue	1:2

Upcoming Matches